The Issachar Fund (LIONX) is fully invested (100%) in the Senior Floating Rate Mutual Fund space (80%) with some Japan (10%) and US Growth (10%) ETFs, as of 11/09/17. I reduced the Fund’s exposure as a sign of caution because the junk bond index has rolled over and sliced through its 50-day moving average but the 50-day moving average has not turned down. I watch this indicator closely because, historically, it has given me an indication of the risk appetite in the market. I have witnessed many times in my career that when this indicator is above its 50-day moving average, it is a good time to be invested. However, when it is below its 50-day moving average, then I view it as a sign of caution/higher risk. The junk bond index could very well turn up and head higher which would give a false signal, but I would rather error on the side of caution and miss a potential opportunity over losing money. (Portfolio holdings are subject to change at any time and should not be considered investment advice. There is no guarantee that any investment will achieve its objectives, generate positive returns or avoid losses.
The Senate wants to delay the reduction in the corporate tax rate to 20% until 2019 which might be aimed at delaying an economic recovery until after the 2018 election. The Senate’s version of the tax cuts included 7 tax brackets instead of the House’s version of only 4. The Senate’s version would eliminate the SALT (state and local taxes) deduction which gives big tax breaks to people living in the high-tax states like California and New York. All in all, investors did not like the Senate’s version of tax reform as the market declined on Thursday’s news.
If the long-term bull market in bonds has ended, then stocks could be the “new bonds”. If we enter a new era of higher interest rates, then I would expect a lot of money to come out of bonds and into stocks. If interest rates go up, then bond prices should go down so why hold onto bonds that are likely to go down as rates rise. I do not think that we are in this new era, but we could be close. After President Trump selected Jerome Powell to be the next fed chair, the yield curve (the difference between the long and short-term Treasury rates) began to rapidly flatten. The short-term rates moved higher without the long-term rates rising. As we have been seeing in the market recently, this flattening of the yield curve can put pressure on the financial stocks. The flattening curve generally indicates that financial risk may be on the rise. Coincidentally, the defensive sectors like Utilities and Real Estate have been rising. If the market continues to decline, I will do my best to manage the risk.
There are early signs that the economy is accelerating in part due to the incredible rollback of business regulations by President Trump. We have had two quarters of real GDP growth at or above 3% so far, this year and the future looks even brighter. Bottom line, liquidity is still plentiful, and money is sloshing around the globe, but it does not appear to be leaving the market. One day, that will change but for now the trend is still up, so we will go with the flow.
Out of the fullness of his grace he has blessed us all, giving us one blessing after another. (John 1:16)
There is no guarantee that any investment will achieve its objectives, generate positive returns, or avoid losses. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the Issachar Fund. This and other important information about the Fund is contained in the prospectus, which can be obtained by calling 1-866-787-8355 or visiting www.LIONX.net. The prospectus should be read carefully before investing. The Issachar Fund is distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC, member FINRA/SIPC. Horizon Capital Management Inc., National Association of Active Investment Managers, and Kingdom Advisors is not affiliated with Northern Lights Distributors, LLC.
Mutual Funds involve risks including the possible loss of principal.
The Fund may engage in frequent trading, leading to increased portfolio turnover, higher transaction costs, and the possibility of increased net capital gains, including net short-term capital gains that will be taxable to shareholders as ordinary income when distributed. The Fund may hold cash positions and there is a risk that the sections of the market in which the Fund invests will begin to rise or fall rapidly and the Fund will not be able to sell stocks quickly enough to avoid losses, or reinvest its cash positions into areas of the advancing market quickly enough to capture the initial returns of changing market conditions. The Fund’s investments in large capitalization stocks may underperform Funds that invest primarily in the stocks of lower quality, smaller capitalization companies during periods when the stocks of such companies are in favor. Investments in small-capitalization and mid-capitalization companies involve greater risks and volatility than investing in larger capitalization companies. Small and medium-size companies often have narrower markets for their goods and/or services and more limited managerial and financial resources than larger, more established companies. The Fund is non-diversified, which means it invests a high percentage of its assets in a limited number of securities. A non-diversified fund’s NAVs and total returns may fluctuate more or fall greater in times of weaker markets than a diversified mutual fund.
The Fund invests in debt instruments which have varying levels of sensitivity to changes in interest rates, credit risk and other factors. Many debt instruments are subject to prepayment risk, which is the risk that the issuer of the security will repay principal prior to the maturity date. The Fund could lose money if the issuer or guarantor of a debt security goes bankrupt or is unable or unwilling to make interest payments and/or repay principal. Changes in an issuer’s financial strength or credit rating also may affect a security’s value and have an impact on Fund performance. The value of the Fund’s investment in fixed income securities will fall when interest rates rise and the effect of increased interest rates is more pronounced for intermediate-term or longer-term fixed income obligations owned by the Fund. The Fund will invest a significant portion of its assets in securities that are rated below investment grade or “junk bonds.” Junk bonds may be sensitive to economic changes, political changes, or adverse developments specific to a company. These securities generally involve greater risk of default or price changes than other types of fixed-income securities and the Fund’s performance may vary significantly as a result. The floating rate loans in which the Fund invests are usually rated below investment grade and are generally considered speculative because they present a greater risk of loss, including default, than higher quality debt securities and may be less liquid than higher rated debt securities.
The value of the Fund’s asset-backed securities may be affected by changes in interest rates, the availability of information concerning the interests in and structure of the pools of purchase contracts, financing leases or sales agreements that are represented by these securities, the credit worthiness of the servicing agent for the pool, the originator of the loans or receivables, or the entities that provide any supporting letters of credit, surety bonds, or other credit enhancements. The Fund’s investment in municipal securities carries additional risk including changes in federal, state or local laws that may make a municipal issuer unable to make interest payments when due. Municipal securities backed by current or anticipated revenues from a specific project or specific assets can be negatively affected by the inability to collect revenue, for the project or from the assets. Moreover, an adverse interpretation of the tax status of municipal securities may make such securities decline in value. In addition to the risks typically associated with fixed income securities, loan participations carry other risks, including the risk of insolvency of the lending bank or other intermediary. Loan participations may be unsecured or not fully collateralized, may be subject to restrictions on resale and sometimes trade infrequently on the secondary market.
The Fund uses investment techniques, including investments in futures contracts, forward contracts, options and swaps, which may be considered to be an aggressive investment technique. Investments in such derivatives may general be subject to market risks that may cause their prices to fluctuate over time and may increase the volatility of the Fund. The use of derivatives may expose the Fund to additional risks that it would not be subject to if it invested directly in the securities underlying those derivatives, such as counter party risk and the risk that the derivatives may become illiquid. The use of derivatives may result in larger losses or smaller gains than investing in the underlying securities directly. Interest rate swaps are subject to interest rate and credit risk. Total return swaps are subject to counter party risk, which relate to credit risk of the counter party and liquidity risk of the swaps themselves. There may be an imperfect correlation between the prices of options, futures, and/or forward contract and movements in the price of the securities (or indices) hedged or used for cover which may cause a given hedge not to achieve its objective. There may not be a liquid secondary market for futures contracts and Forward currency transactions include the risks associated with fluctuations in currency. If the Fund uses a hedging instrument at the wrong time or judges the market conditions incorrectly, the hedge might be unsuccessful, reduce the Fund’s investment return, or create a loss. Use of leverage can magnify the effects of changes in the value of the Fund and makes them more volatile and increases the risk for loss in adverse environments. Short positions are designed to profit from a decline in the price of particular securities, baskets of securities or indices. The Fund will lose value if the instrument’s price rises – a result that is the opposite from traditional mutual funds.
Investments in foreign securities and securities that provide exposure to foreign securities involve greater risks than investing in domestic securities. As a result, the Fund’s returns and NAVs may be affected to a large degree by fluctuations in currency exchange rates, political, diplomatic or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in other countries. The Fund also may invest in depositary receipts, including ADRs, which are traded on exchanges and provide an alternative to investing directly in foreign securities. Investments in ADRs are subject to many of the risks associated with investing directly in foreign securities. The laws and accounting, auditing, and financial reporting standards in foreign countries typically are not as strict as they are in the U.S., and there may be less public information available about foreign companies. Investments in emerging markets instruments involve greater risks than investing in foreign instruments in general. Risks of investing in emerging market countries include political or social upheaval, nationalization of businesses, restrictions on foreign ownership and prohibitions on the repatriation of assets and risks from an economy’s dependence on revenues from particular commodities or industries among others. No-Load mutual funds are sold without a sales charge, however other fees and expenses do apply to an investment in the Fund.
NLD Review Code: 3981-NLD-11/13/2017